Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 418.190172 476.988234 542.877504 622.519507 716.619683 824.801581 959.360746
2025-08-24 328.498923 403.681217 495.927967 618.758338 780.017571 987.327850 1278.632582
2025-08-31 277.450682 357.287044 461.063196 608.270288 815.723015 1103.890744 1545.854105
2025-09-07 246.002936 328.951722 441.950348 610.866077 863.613314 1239.030469 1861.422919
2025-09-14 217.552271 299.824289 416.228199 597.884170 883.641911 1333.012957 2130.350169
2025-09-21 197.947459 280.265532 400.773078 596.360040 918.623634 1453.391040 2466.360044
2025-09-28 175.947069 254.500066 372.663862 570.615285 909.363306 1497.133122 2673.852468
2025-10-05 168.464558 249.649696 375.612193 594.464642 985.896595 1701.936282 3234.573864
2025-10-12 162.735126 246.747870 380.994876 622.577163 1073.704152 1943.367918 3935.411381
2025-10-19 153.182278 236.683382 373.404904 626.770748 1117.492122 2107.084049 4512.727895
2025-10-26 141.447662 221.935817 356.380066 611.640544 1121.322180 2189.049107 4920.904201
2025-11-02 131.821602 209.891508 342.817074 601.181326 1132.627161 2288.614833 5402.184525
2025-11-09 127.248910 206.317706 344.179057 620.112756 1209.433236 2554.568452 6428.848122
2025-11-16 119.891164 197.289714 334.895139 617.087908 1239.031899 2717.853565 7231.696951
2025-11-23 112.300448 187.210256 322.690960 606.562875 1250.030051 2837.606008 7949.193201
2025-11-30 107.086615 181.005106 317.166748 609.157085 1291.573584 3045.168025 9039.744705
2025-12-07 100.507226 171.783898 305.035692 596.217998 1294.004816 3148.584466 9816.760015
2025-12-14 95.788289 165.694386 298.493052 594.699037 1324.316486 3337.455508 11000.503031
2025-12-21 88.880260 154.988176 281.932522 569.040012 1289.632302 3329.772974 11411.474032
2025-12-28 87.575923 154.944103 286.851613 592.809972 1387.558968 3747.716184 13827.687711
2026-01-04 86.677294 155.606794 293.251219 620.828077 1502.362562 4254.170260 16992.787179
2026-01-11 83.625494 151.773795 289.881065 625.007503 1551.530644 4557.589004 19389.215921
2026-01-18 79.129530 144.746958 279.150961 609.928292 1542.671962 4656.528247 20775.084333